What Will The Sales Profession Look Like in 10 Years?
Thursday, September 17, 2009 at 7:00AM The correct answer: It depends. But for sure, it will change.
Thoughts about just how much things have changed started to formulate while watching a re-run of the film “In Pursuit of Happyness” (Will Smith, 2006). As a backdrop, the film depicts the prominent investment rep boiler rooms of the 1990s. It was a business that employed countless thousands of licensed investment reps all vying for control of employees’ retirement accounts. The value of the portfolio was never an issue; times were good and those portfolios just continued to grow. It was all about the relationships. That’s all gone now. The bubble has burst and almost every customer was burned. Many of those companies have gone under or been merged out. Consumer trust built on relationships between the seller and the buyer now need something more solid to stand on. “Business as usual” needs to be reinvented.
So, what will happen going forward? I think it’s clear that consumer product companies will need to get closer to their customers. Many of them threw their hats in the ring years ago and let the Walmart’s and Home Depots of the world do the heavy lifting. Now, they are squeezed on margin and are frustrated that they can’t more directly control their futures. I believe many of these companies will develop clearly defined direct channels to their customers. General Motors has already started a test through Ebay in California to sell new cars directly to potential customers. This is just the beginning. Many other companies will continue to leverage technology to get their product in front of their target market at right place and at the right time.
B-2-B companies will also utilize technology and target marketing more effectively to sell their products and services. These companies most likely will continue to maintain a mix of direct and channel sales. The percentage of that mix will fluctuate from time-to-time, depending on business conditions. Market share will be the leading indicator. Additionally, expect some large-scale, third party sales agent companies to grow and flourish. As has already occurred in banking, small niche organizations and the giants will survive. The companies in the middle probably won’t.
In summary, it’s likely ten years from now, if current trends continue, direct sales forces will be at least 25% smaller than they are today. On the other side of the coin, channel organizations could grow by more than 250%. However, companies will push harder and harder for exclusive arrangements from their channel partners. They will want more direct control of how their products and/or services are positioned to potential customers and how those accounts are managed. On the other hand, expect channel players to seek larger commissions and a bigger piece of the pie from on-going maintenance or subscription contracts.
It remains to be seen how close to actual this maybe 10 years from now. The only thing for sure is, there will be change.








Want to exceed revenue targets without adding headcount? Focus on seller productivity.
Sales productivity consists of two components; utilization and effectiveness. The utilization level of a sales person is reflective of how much time the seller devotes to sales activities as opposed to ‘non sales’ activities. Sales activities include face to face or phone time with prospects, proposal preparation time, and email follow-up with prospects. ‘Non sales’ activities include travel time, internal meeting time, automation tool updates, mandatory training time, and the like. In most sales organizations, the utilization level of a typical seller is no more than 60%.
The other side of the productivity coin is the effectiveness level of the seller. That is, when the seller is actively engaged in the sales process, what type of skill and effort does he or she display. Think of the skills possessed by seemingly naturally born sales people. They have a natural ability to ask good questions, not lead with product, and do a thorough job of understanding the prospect’s problems before offering a solution. Naturally born sales people make prospects feel at ease and never pressured. Compare this to a low performing seller who leads with product, never asks questions of the prospect, and loves doing presentations about his or her company’s products.
If the effectiveness of the naturally born sales person is 80 or 90 percent, the effectiveness level of the low performer is probably in the 30 to 40 percent range.
Both seller utilization and seller effectiveness are controllable by sales management. Low utilization is reflective of bad habits in the sales organization. These bad habits include organizational dependence on unnecessary meetings, poor automation tools, lack of performance metrics, and poor territory layouts. Low seller effectiveness is the result of poor hiring practices and lack of investment is sales skills training.
In the typical sales organization, overall sales productivity is abysmally low. Even in the best managed sales organization, seller utilization and seller effectiveness rarely exceed 50%. Overall sales productivity languishes in the 25 to 30% range. Even a modest increase in sales productivity can result in tremendous upticks in revenues and margins.